

THE SOCIETY FOR
CONTINGENT RISK PROGNOSTICS
Welcome to
Sustainability Risks. Quantified. Cultured.
A new name for SCRP. With effect from 29 October 2026, and with the approval of the Registrar of Societies, the Society of Certified Risk Professionals is now the Society for Contingent Risk Prognostics (SCRP). The new name reflects how AI will bring quantitative enterprise risk into the mainstream. It also reflects our commitment to research and development in Quantitative Enterprise Risk Management and Sustainability Risks through 2030.
SCRP frames enterprise risk management as an adaptive navigation system—powered by risk sensing, system-level interventions, and ongoing feedback to stay aligned with stakeholder priorities and, by extension, sustainability goals.
What We Do
SCRP’s mission is to develop professionals skilled in quantitative risk, systems innovation, and corporate ethnography. Once this core group is grounded in the approach, they will seed the growth of this discipline. A certification program will follow. In parallel, we’re delivering real-world projects through strategic collaborations to demonstrate SCRP’s model in action.
Pioneers Who Shaped Our Risk Philosophy
These thought leaders have shaped the way we think about risk—grounding our philosophy, sharpening our methods, and elevating our ambition. Their work continues to guide our mission. Their insights form the foundation we build upon—to lead change with clarity and conviction.

Stafford Beer
1926-2002
Management Cybernetician
Anthony Stafford Beer, recipient of the Norbert Wiener Gold Medal for Cybernetics (1981), pioneered management cybernetics and the Viable System Model to govern complexity through adaptive design. His legacy drives SCRP’s reimagining of ERM—not as static control, but as a living system responsive to real-time risk, not compliance rituals.

Daniel Kahneman
1924-2024
Behavioural Economist
Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate in Economics (2002), revealed how cognitive biases and heuristics distort human judgment under uncertainty. His landmark work Thinking, Fast and Slow lays the cognitive foundation for SCRP’s challenge to ERM—where colour-coded matrices and simplistic rating scales often mask, rather than mitigate, flawed decision-making.

Ross Ashby
1903-1972
Systems Thinker
W. Ross Ashby, a foundational figure in cybernetics, introduced principles like variety, regulation, and homeostasis—most notably the Law of Requisite Variety. His work underpins SCRP’s push to evolve ERM into an adaptive architecture, where complexity isn’t feared but required—meeting the minimum threshold for a system to remain viable under uncertainty.

Douglas W. Hubbard
1962-Present
Risk Quant
Hubbard wrote two seminal books that demonstrated any risk—even intangibles—can be meaningfully quantified. The Failure of Risk Management profiles the Four Horsemen of Risk—actuaries, war quants, economists, and consultants—crediting the first three for advancing the field, while faulting the fourth for spreading vague, qualitative heuristics that undermine the foundations of sound risk management.
Explore our latest initiatives below, see how you can get involved, or tap into our capabilities to address risk. Each section offers a window into what we’re advancing, where we’ve made breakthroughs, and how we collaborate with those ready to turn uncertainty into opportunity.




